Associates’ Publications, Working Papers, and Presentations
The Impact of servicification on global supply chains in the ASEAN region: dynamcs, restrictions, and policy implications (June 8, 2020).
Presenters: Hein Roelfsema and Christopher Findlay
Comments: Ingo Borchert
Moderation: Xinquan Tu
Magnus Lodefalk: Globalization on hold or in reverse? TIISA Policy Brief 2020-01
Ingo Borchert, Nigel Cory, Jane Drake-Brockman, Ziyang Fan, Christopher Findlay, Fukunari Kimura, Magnus Lodefalk, Hildegunn Nordas, Shin-Yi Peng, Hein Roelfsema, Yose Rizal, Sherry Stephenson, Xianquan Tu, Erik Van der Marel, Mustafa Yagci: Digital Technologies, Services and the Fourth Industrial Revolution. (TIISA Working Paper 2020 Number 2)
The increasingly rapid uptake of digital technologies is launching the global economy into the ‘Fourth Industrial Revolution’ and the next transformative wave of globalisation. Trade in merchandise is in long-run relative decline; trade in services, especially e-services, is on a long-term relative upward trend – and associated cross border data flows are growing exponentially. These structural shifts, and their impacts on competitiveness, are set to intensify. The G20 must assert a leadership role by signalling best practice policy and regulatory settings, including sustained openness to international trade, investment and data flows, so every nation can reap the productivity gains of the digital age. This Working Paper has been prepared as background for a short Policy Brief for the 2020 THINK20 Taskforce 1: Trade and Investment.
Hildegunn Kyvik Nordås: Trade in Telecommunications and International Trade Agreements. (TIISA Working Paper 2020 Number 1)
In light of recent technical and commercial developments in telecommunications, this paper discusses three related issues: First, to what extent is the GATS a suitable framework for liberalizing trade in telecommunications? Second, how does trade statistics capture globalization of telecommunications services? Third, how can the impact of trade liberalization in telecommunications be analysed? I argue that the sheer complexity and context specificity of best practice telecommunications regulations pose a challenge for including behind the border regulation in international trade agreements, including the GATS. Thus, international collaboration on developing and implementing state of the art pro-competitive and pro-growth regulation may be better placed with national regulators collaborating through specialized international bodies which have the necessary expertise. Preliminary empirical analysis suggests that while market access and national treatment stimulate trade and FDI in telecommunications, best practice regulation mainly improves domestic supply and indirectly supports trade both in telecommunications and services provided over electronic networks.